Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.004337 0.004561 0.004792 0.005046 0.005321 0.005608 0.005931
2025-11-09 0.004013 0.004351 0.004713 0.005132 0.005606 0.006127 0.006747
2025-11-16 0.003739 0.004134 0.004570 0.005091 0.005699 0.006392 0.007249
2025-11-23 0.003549 0.003986 0.004479 0.005083 0.005808 0.006659 0.007747
2025-11-30 0.003356 0.003817 0.004347 0.005008 0.005820 0.006798 0.008085
2025-12-07 0.003198 0.003677 0.004236 0.004946 0.005836 0.006933 0.008414
2025-12-14 0.003086 0.003585 0.004175 0.004937 0.005912 0.007138 0.008838
2025-12-21 0.002919 0.003416 0.004011 0.004790 0.005799 0.007092 0.008921
2025-12-28 0.002843 0.003356 0.003978 0.004803 0.005891 0.007313 0.009371
2026-01-04 0.002793 0.003324 0.003977 0.004855 0.006034 0.007604 0.009934
2026-01-11 0.002709 0.003247 0.003914 0.004822 0.006058 0.007733 0.010270
2026-01-18 0.002642 0.003187 0.003870 0.004812 0.006111 0.007901 0.010670
2026-01-25 0.002568 0.003117 0.003812 0.004781 0.006135 0.008031 0.011026
2026-02-01 0.002544 0.003111 0.003837 0.004862 0.006319 0.008400 0.011770
2026-02-08 0.002475 0.003043 0.003777 0.004823 0.006329 0.008512 0.012118
2026-02-15 0.002422 0.002995 0.003741 0.004816 0.006383 0.008690 0.012581
2026-02-22 0.002349 0.002918 0.003664 0.004746 0.006341 0.008719 0.012797
2026-03-01 0.002285 0.002850 0.003597 0.004689 0.006315 0.008769 0.013050
2026-03-08 0.002241 0.002809 0.003565 0.004681 0.006360 0.008933 0.013508
2026-03-15 0.002155 0.002708 0.003447 0.004544 0.006205 0.008769 0.013378
2026-03-22 0.002123 0.002682 0.003432 0.004556 0.006278 0.008975 0.013921
2026-03-29 0.002105 0.002673 0.003442 0.004605 0.006408 0.009281 0.014668
2026-04-05 0.002062 0.002628 0.003399 0.004574 0.006412 0.009376 0.015027